Mason-Dixon polls Montana’s at-large House seat (5/19-21, registered voters):
Jim Hunt (D): 20
Denny Rehberg (R-inc): 52
Mike Fellows (L): 5
Undecided: 23
(MoE: ±4%)
Hunt, a Helena attorney, starts this race well behind. Despite some early statewide advertising, he only has 39% name recognition. Hunt does have some room for growth — he only garners support from 48% of Democrats and 16% of independents — but Rehberg’s solid favorables (55%) and job approval (56%) will be tough to crack.
Here are the numbers from Senate race:
Max Baucus (D-inc): 65
Mike Lange (R): 26Max Baucus (D-inc): 61
Kirk Bushman (R): 26
(MoE: ±4%)
Now is clearly not the year to run for Senate if you’re a Bush man.
It would have been fun to run at Rehberg this year. The top flight had to pass to keep Rehberg from bouncing over to Baucus’s race, but a strong second-tier candidate like Bill Kennedy could have been a lot of fun. Too bad…